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Climate Environmentalism Science Uncategorized

Ice Age Coming!?

Dave 07Last weekend’s Sunday Sun papers had a two-page article saying that heat, drought, and a longer fire season are going to be the new normal for Canada. Maybe for now, but I have research data going back into the early 1800s, and found out that the biggest fire in US history was actually in 1910.

Here’s a quote: “Believed to be the largest fire in U.S. history, the Great Fire of 1910 burned over two days from August 21 to August 22, 1910, in the states of Washington, Idaho and Montana. An estimated three million acres of land were burned by the blaze and 87 people were killed.” That’s one fire and just two days to burn 12,000 km² and kill 87 people. We’re a long way from that!

A number of years ago I read excerpts from the journal of one of the men who was with the Lewis and Clark expedition in the early 1800s. He described traveling for weeks on end through smoke and ash from forest and grass fires; most set off by lightning, but others set deliberately by the natives to rejuvenate the land. Remember this was in 1806, a cooler period before the Little Ice Age ended around 1850.

This is supposed to be one of the biggest fire seasons in Canada in 40 years. But remember the context from last week? 1980 was the end of a 30 year cold period during which scientists were writing about the new Ice Age to come. It’s warmer, so more fires, but most temperature records were still set nearly 100 years ago.

And an Ice Age may be still coming. I subscribe to an online discussion site called Quora, and the postings are almost unrelentingly from the climate alarmism crowd, so I was astonished and pleased to read this article this morning. There actually are many dissenting voices, not on the reality of climate change itself,  but whether we are experiencing Abnormal, Catastrophic, Anthropogenic, (human caused) Climate Change. How about ACACC for an acronym? Or maybe more appropriately, CACA? The words don’t work but the sentiment does.

Many Russian scientists have been saying for decades that a new Ice Age is a bigger threat to humanity than global warming. That article from an American scientist supports that thesis.

Our new catSome of you have seen this on my Facebook page, but the local Bobcat was on our deck this morning, and when we went out to take pictures he casually sauntered to the fence; jumped up on it and sat there for five minutes surveying the street up and down. Apparently seeing no edibles like rabbits, squirrels, cats or small dogs, he jumped down and strolled down the sidewalk. What a beautiful animal!

We live in Douglasdale Estates, a couple of blocks from the Bow River, but with the city all around. Have a great week!

Dave

Categories
Climate Conservatarians Environmentalism Politics Science

HOT! HOT! HOT!

20180810_152044Friday, August 10 was HOT in Calgary. In fact it was 36.4 Celsius hot. For the unconverted, that’s 97.5 Fahrenheit hot. It broke the previous all-time record of 36.1 Celsius set in 1919, and again in 1933.

By a whopping 3/10 of a degree. Take that you deniers!

Now I have a phrase that I repeat, almost like a mantra, whenever I read or hear something alarming. The phrase? “Without context, it’s crap”.

So, here’s some context. For 15,000 years, since the end of the last major Ice Age, temperatures have been trending upwards, (perhaps that’s why the Ice Age ended?) although with a lot of ups and downs along the way. The most recent major down is commonly referred to as The Little Ice Age lasting from about 1300 to 1850 AD.

Since 1850, the temperature has gone up about 1°C, but with most of that happening in the first 100 years, or until 1950. The 1920s, 30s, and 40s, were really hot; hot enough that many temperature records set during that period still hold.

For 70 years after World War II ended in 1945, CO2 levels in the atmosphere climbed rapidly, and yet, new high temperature records were not set until recently, and then by only fractions of a degree.

It took 70 years to set new records, by fractions of a degree? Did CO2 lose its Mojo?

And within that 70 years, the 1950s, 60s, and 70s were actually cooler. So cool in fact, that while CO2 levels were rising rapidly, scientists were prognosticating a new Ice Age! I read the articles.

And here’s more context. Several agencies which rely on climate change research for a significant or major portion of their funding, have several times been caught “adjusting” downward temperature records from the 1920s, 30s, and 40s. This was purportedly done to make them more accurate, but lowering temperatures for the 20s, 30s, and 40s, obviously makes it easier to set record highs now. And then that makes it easier to justify more funding for research on human caused global warming.

Climate change is real, but it always has been. Records of droughts and floods are common in ancient literature. What is now the Sahara Desert was a food producer for the Roman Empire only 2000 years ago. And when I say only 2000 years ago, I mean it. Earth’s major climate cycles are measured in 100 thousand or million year increments.

Here’s what we need to do.

  1. We must continue to clean up real pollutants in our air and water and soil.
  2. We need to stop worrying about CO2 because its increase has empirically been a minor contributor to global warming. But it’s increase has also been a major contributor to increased plant growth around the world, which, together with capitalism, has brought about a massive decrease in hunger and poverty in the past 30 years. Why would we want to end that?
  3. We need to think ahead. At our current normal rates, sea levels are going to rise about 250-300 mm or 10-12 inches during the next century, and those who build on beaches are taking a risk. Our primitive and uneducated ancestors, during times of far faster sea level rise, adapted by moving to higher ground. Now that’s thinking!!
  4. Finally, we need to stop listening to the alarmists because they’re in it for the money. Your money.

Let me know what you think. And please SHARE!

I’m Dave Reesor